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ScrapTrident

Poll on Trident and Scottish Independence

A new opinion poll by TNS BMRB for Scottish CND confirms the strength of opposition to the replacement of Trident in Scotland, including among those who have not yet decided how to vote in the independence referendum.

 

When asked whether they supported or opposed the plan to buy a new nuclear weapon system to replace Trident, 25% were uncommitted but of those who expressed a definite opinion 19% supported and 80% opposed.  Among those who have not decided how to vote in the independence referendum in 2014, 37% were uncommitted on Trident replacement but of those who expressed a definite opinion only 13% supported replacing Trident and 87% were opposed.

  

Arthur West, Chair of Scottish CND said:

 

"Trident is emerging as a key issue in the referendum campaign. This poll shows that a clear majority of Scots don't want to waste billions of pounds on new nuclear weapons. It also shows that there is very little support for Trident replacement among those who have not yet decided how to vote in 2014."

 

The poll asked:

 

The UK Government plans to replace the existing Trident nuclear weapons with a new system, at a cost of £65 billion. Do you support or oppose the UK Government buying a new nuclear weapon system to replace Trident?

 

This was cross-referenced against a second question:

 

There will be a referendum on Scottish independence in the autumn of 2014. If this referendum were to be held tomorrow, how would you vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country?

 

 

Total

 

How would you vote if referendum on independence held tomorrow

   

Yes

No

Don't Know

Support Trident replacement

14

11

19

8

Oppose Trident replacement

60

70

55

55

Neither support nor oppose

17

13

19

24

Don't Know

8

6

8

13

         

 

Excluding Neither & Don’t Know

       

Support

19

13

25

13

Oppose

80

87

75

87


The results of the referendum question (as above) were:  Yes 33%  No 52%  Don't Know 15%

Poll data

 

 

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